This site provides a variety projections (1990-2050) for Texas, including county population projections, city population projections, regional population projections, regional municipal water demand projections, manufacturing water demand projections, steam electric water demand projections, mining water demand projections, livestock water demand projections, and irrigation water demand projections. Projections are available in Excel.
Population & Water Demand Projections. Texas Water Development Board
To investigate the relationship between climate shocks and migration between rural and urban areas within Mexico, individual records from the 2000 and 2010 Mexican censuses (n = 683,518) were combined with high-resolution climate data from Terra Populus that are linked to census data at the municipality level (n = 2321). Then climate shocks were measured as monthly deviation from a 30-year (1961–1990) long-term climate normal period, and uncover important nonlinearities using quadratic and cubic specifications.
Nawrotzki, R. J., J. DeWaard, M. Bakhtsiyarava and J. T. Ha. 2017. Climate shocks and rural-urban migration in Mexico: exploring nonlinearities and thresholds. Climatic Change 140(2): 243-258.DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1849-0
In seeking to understand how future societies will be affected by climate change, the authors propose that the concept of demographic metabolism and the associated methods of multi-dimensional population projections provide an effective analytical toolbox to forecast important aspects of societal change that affect adaptive capacity.
Lutz, W. and R. Muttarak. 2017. Forecasting societies' adaptive capacities through a demographic metabolism model. Nature Climate Change 7(3): 177-184.DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3222
To explore how those in regional Australian coastal communities have coped with repeated natural disasters, focussing on the experience of independent-living older adults, the study used an exploratory, mixed-method, and phenomenological approach, an array of non-probability snowballing techniques to seek participation from residents aged 65 years or more, and from emergency services officers, disaster managers, and community health care providers located in regional communities affected by Cyclone Larry (2006) and Cyclone Yasi (2011).
Sandra, A. 2017. Ageing in remote and cyclone-prone communities: geography, policy, and disaster relief. Geographical Research, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1745-5871.12228DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1745-5871.12228
The paper seeks to discuss trends of urban expansion and population growth with their social and environmental implications in the city of Teresina, the capital and largest city of the Brazilian state of Piauí over the last four decades (1974–2014).
Espindola, G. M. d., E. L. N. d. C. Carneiro and A. C. Façanha. 2017. Four decades of urban sprawl and population growth in Teresina, Brazil. Applied Geography 79: 73-83.DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2016.12.018
This is a discussion of the the possible solutions and protection alternatives for climate change displacement for the inhabitants of Small Islands Developing States (SIDS), and particularly of Atolls Islands States.
Yamamoto, L. and M. Esteban. 2017. Migration as an Adaptation Strategy for Atoll Island States. International Migration, DOI: 10.1111/imig.12318DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/imig.12318
This is a conceptual and methodological paper with the objective of identifying possible different options for research into the consequences of migration for adaptation.
Gemenne, F. and J. Blocher. 2017. How can migration serve adaptation to climate change? Challenges to fleshing out a policy ideal. The Geographical Journal, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/geoj.12205DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/geoj.12205
To analyse the importance of alternative practices surrounding land, labour, governance, and ritual found in the region, the study used the concept of comunalidad, created by Indigenous intellectuals in Oaxaca, Mexico. The results show that while Indigenous villages are profoundly affected by different forms of migration, migration itself is not necessarily a “death knell” for Indigenous peasants.
Robson, J., D. Klooster, H. Worthen and J. Hernández-Díaz. 2017. Migration and agrarian transformation in Indigenous Mexico. Journal of Agrarian Change, doi: 10.1111/joac.12224DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/joac.12224
In this study we quantify changes in spatial and temporal (1993 and 2009) patterns of human pressure and ecological state across the entire global network of Natural World Heritage Sites (NWHS) and their surrounding landscapes using two newly available globally consistent data sets that assess changes in human pressure (Human Footprint) and forest loss (Global Forest Watch).
Allan, J. R., O. Venter, S. Maxwell, B. Bertzky, K. Jones, Y. Shi and J. E. M. Watson. 2017. Recent increases in human pressure and forest loss threaten many Natural World Heritage Sites. Biological Conservation 206: 47-55.DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2016.12.011
Using panel data, the study investigates the effects of climatic variations and extremes captured by variability in temperature, precipitation, and incidents of typhoons on aggregate inter-provincial migration within the Philippines.
Bohra-Mishra, P., M. Oppenheimer, R. Cai, S. Feng and R. Licker. 2017. Climate variability and migration in the Philippines. Population and Environment 38(3): 286-308DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11111-016-0263-x